Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Marine Wind Warning Summary for Queensland

Issued at 09:00 PM EST on Wednesday 04 March 2026
for the period until midnight EST Thursday 05 March 2026

Wind Warnings for Wednesday 04 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Cairns Coast, Townsville Coast and Mackay Coast

Wind Warnings for Thursday 05 March
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Cooktown Coast and Cairns Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Townsville Coast and Mackay Coast

The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 3:00 am EST Thursday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin: AUSTRALIA - Queensland
Issued by Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0656 UTC 04/03/2026
Name: Tropical Low
Identifier: 29U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 14.4S
Longitude: 150.7E
Location Accuracy: within 20nm (35 km)
Movement Towards: northeast (044 deg)
Speed of Movement: 1 knots (1 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots (65 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots (95 km/h)
Central Pressure: 996 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: None nm (110 km)
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 60 nm (110 km)
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds:
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.5/D0.5/24HRS STT:W0.5/06HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1003 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 200 nm (370 km)

FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
(UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06: 04/1200: 14.6S 150.3E: 030 (060): 040 (075): 992
+12: 04/1800: 15.0S 149.6E: 040 (080): 045 (085): 990
+18: 05/0000: 15.3S 148.8E: 050 (095): 045 (085): 990
+24: 05/0600: 15.6S 148.0E: 055 (105): 045 (085): 990
+36: 05/1800: 16.3S 146.6E: 070 (130): 045 (085): 990
+48: 06/0600: 17.7S 145.0E: 095 (180): 035 (065): 996
+60: 06/1800: 18.8S 143.0E: 130 (235): 025 (045): 1003
+72: 07/0600: 19.6S 141.1E: 145 (265): 020 (035): 1005
+96: 08/0600: 20.8S 140.6E: 165 (305): 020 (035): 1004
+120: 09/0600: None None: None (None): None (None): None

REMARKS:
Tropical Low 29U was located in the northern Coral Sea, north of Willis Island. Position is based on animated visible satellite imagery with good confidence. The low-level circulation centre (LLCC) remains exposed, with deep convection displaced to the western side. Dvorak analysis using the shear pattern yields a DT 2.0. MET supports with a D- 24 hour trend of 2.0, and PT agrees. FT is at 2.0 with CI held at 2.5. Objective guidance is ADT 35 kn, AiDT 33 kn, DPRING 32 kn, DMINT 31 kn and MW Sounders 43 kn (1-min winds). SATCON was not available. Intensity estimated at 35 knots in NW quadrant. The system remains under the influence of moderate to strong easterly vertical wind shear of 20-30 knots. Other environmental parameters remain supportive, including adequate low-level inflow on both sides of the circulation with deep moisture, established upper-level outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures of around 29-30 C. Shear is forecast to remain moderate to high, which is likely to hinder significant intensification prior to landfall unless the system moves into a region of lower shear. Movement is expected to be generally towards the coast, steered by a subtropical ridge to the southeast. There remains some uncertainty regarding the future depth of the system, which will depend on whether deep convection can persist near the centre overnight. A more exposed circulation and slower rate of development may result in the system remaining over water longer and tracking slightly further south prior to landfall. The current consensus is for 29U to sustain convection overnight, supporting a southwestward track with possible landfall on Friday between Port Douglas and Cardwell.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
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The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 04/1330 UTC.