Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, National Water Operations

Major Flood Warning For The Mackenzie River, Moderate Flood Warning For The Connors-Isaac And Fitzroy Rivers And Flood Warning For The Nogoa River Catchment
Issued at 11:30 AM AEST on Thursday 15 January 2026
Flood Warning Number: 15

MAJOR FLOODING OCCURRING AT TARTRUS AND MODERATE FLOODING OCCURRING AT YATTON
MODERATE FLOODING POSSIBLE AT YAAMBA FROM SATURDAY EVENING AND AT ROCKHAMPTON FROM MONDAY
Moderate to heavy rainfall across the Fitzroy River Catchment since Sunday has resulted in rapid river and creek level rises throughout the Connors, Isaac and Mackenzie River catchments, as well as the Theresa Creek catchment.
River levels are slowly falling at Yatton along the Isaac River, where moderate flooding is occurring. Along the Mackenzie River at Tartrus the river level is near a peak, with major flooding.
River level rises are expected along the Fitzroy River later in the week as flows arrive from the Mackenzie River. Minor flooding is possible at Yaamba from Friday and at Rockhampton from Sunday afternoon. Moderate flooding is possible at Yaamba from Saturday evening and at Rockhampton from Monday. Forecasts will be refined as upstream peaks are observed.
Showers and possible thunderstorms are forecast across most of the catchment for the next few days, which may cause river level rises in parts of the catchment, but are not expected to significantly impact river levels along the Fitzroy River at this stage.

Nogoa River:
Along Theresa Creek moderate flooding is occurring at Gregory Highway. Major flooding is occurring at Duckponds.
Connors and Isaac Rivers:
Moderate flooding is occurring at Pink Lagoon and at Yatton.
The Isaac River at Yatton is currently at 16.36 m and falling, with moderate flooding.
The Isaac River at Yatton is likely to remain above the moderate flood level (9.50 m) for the next few days.

Mackenzie River:
Major flooding is occurring at Coolmaringa and Tartrus. Minor flooding is occurring at Bedford Weir and Bingegang.
The Mackenzie River at Tartrus is near a peak at 16.19 m and steady, with major flooding.
The Mackenzie River at Tartrus is likely to remain above the major flood level (15.00 m) for the remainder of Thursday and into Friday.

Fitzroy River:
Minor flooding is occurring at Riverslea.
No observations are currently available for the Fitzroy River at Yaamba, however the river level is expected to be below the minor flood level.
River level rises are expected over the next few days as flows arrive from the Mackenzie River. The Fitzroy River at Yaamba may exceed the minor flood level (9.00 m) from Friday. The river may exceed the moderate flood level (12.00 m) from Saturday evening. The river is likely to peak below the major flood level (15.00 m) from Tuesday 20 January. Forecasts will be refined as upstream peaks are observed.

The Fitzroy River at Rockhampton was at 4.25 m at 8:56 am Thursday and falling with the tide, below the minor flood level.
River level rises are expected over the next few days as flows arrive from the Mackenzie River. The Fitzroy River at Rockhampton may exceed the minor flood level (7.00 m) Sunday afternoon. The river may exceed the moderate flood level (7.50 m) Monday 19 January. The river may peak above the moderate flood level (7.50 m) from overnight Tuesday 20 January into Wednesday 21 January. Forecasts will be refined as upstream peaks are observed.

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.disaster.qld.gov.au/warnings.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 06:00 PM AEST on Thursday 15 January 2026.

Latest River Heights:
Dawson River at Utopia Downs,2.17,rising,10:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Dawson River at Tarana Crossing,0.34,rising,12:08 pm Thu 08/01/26
Juandah Creek at Windamere,0.49,steady,10:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Dawson River at Taroom,0.74,steady,9:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Dawson River at Gyranda Weir,0.06,steady,10:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Dawson River at Theodore Weir,6.08,steady,11:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Dawson River at Moura Weir,0.03,steady,10:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Mimosa Creek at Karamea,1.36,steady,10:08 am Thu 15/01/26
Dawson River at Baralaba TW,1.28,steady,11:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Kroombit Creek at Kroombit Dam HG,-9.82,steady,10:43 am Thu 15/01/26
Kroombit Creek at Biloela,0.00,steady,11:02 am Thu 15/01/26
Callide Creek at Callide Dam HG,-14.19,steady,10:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Callide Creek at Jambin,0.00,steady,9:32 am Thu 15/01/26
Callide Creek at Goovigen,1.63,steady,10:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Don River at Rannes,5.08,steady,10:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Dawson River at Knebworth,3.53,steady,10:33 am Thu 15/01/26
Arcadia Creek at Arcadia Valley School,0.25,steady,11:12 am Thu 15/01/26
Comet River at The Lake,5.31,steady,10:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Comet River at Comet Weir,4.35,rising,10:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Nogoa River at Raymond,4.10,rising,10:58 am Thu 15/01/26
Nogoa River at Craigmore,7.46,steady,10:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Nogoa River at Fairbairn Dam,-10.07,steady,10:48 am Thu 15/01/26
Nogoa River at Emerald,3.56,falling,11:20 am Thu 15/01/26
Theresa Creek at Gregory Highway,9.81,falling,8:36 am Thu 15/01/26
Isaac River at Fitzroy Developmental Rd Bridge,7.03,falling,11:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Connors River at Pink Lagoon,12.40,falling,10:05 am Thu 15/01/26
Isaac River at Yatton,16.36,falling,10:49 am Thu 15/01/26
Mackenzie River at Bedford Weir TW,11.28,rising,11:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Mackenzie River at Bingegang TW,10.85,falling,11:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Mackenzie River at Bingegang Weir HG,10.25,steady,11:25 am Thu 15/01/26
Mackenzie River at Tartrus,16.19,steady,11:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Fitzroy River at Riverslea,16.12,rising,10:00 am Thu 15/01/26
Fitzroy River at Rockhampton,4.25,rising,8:56 am Thu 15/01/26
Connor Creek at Port Alma Tide,3.32,falling,10:47 am Thu 15/01/26

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood.