Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, National Water Operations

Initial Minor Flood Warning For The South Esk River
Issued at 04:48 PM AEDT on Tuesday 21 October 2025
Flood Warning Number: 1

MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE AT FINGAL, LEWIS HILL AND LLEWELLYN FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH FORECAST RAINFALL
Moderate to locally heavy rainfall is forecast across the South Esk catchment from Wednesday into Thursday. The catchment is wet following recent rainfall. River level rises are expected, and minor flooding is possible along the South Esk River at Fingal and Llewellyn, and along the St Pauls River at Lewis Hill from Wednesday evening
The situation is being closely monitored, and this warning will be updated as required.

St Pauls River:
Minor flooding is possible along the St Pauls Rivers.
The St Pauls River at Lewis Hill is currently at 0.32 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The St Pauls River at Lewis Hill may exceed the minor flood level (1.70 m) Wednesday afternoon. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.

South Esk River - Fingal to Llewellyn:
Minor flooding is possible along the South Esk River.
The South Esk River at Fingal is currently at 2.10 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The South Esk River at Fingal may exceed the minor flood level (4.00 m) Wednesday evening. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.

The South Esk River at Llewellyn is currently at 1.63 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The South Esk River at Llewellyn may exceed the minor flood level (4.00 m) Wednesday evening. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.alert.tas.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 AM AEDT on Wednesday 22 October 2025.

Latest River Heights:
Break O'Day River at Killymoon,0.35,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Upper Esk Road Bridge,0.74,steady,2:45 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Mathinna,0.41,steady,4:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Fingal,2.10,steady,4:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
St Pauls River at Lewis Hill,0.32,steady,4:26 pm Tue 21/10/25
St Pauls River at Above Avoca,0.53,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Llewellyn,1.63,steady,4:15 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Perth,1.83,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Longford,0.40,steady,4:09 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Trevallyn Pond,126.30,steady,4:15 pm Tue 21/10/25

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, National Water Operations

Initial Minor Flood Warning For The North Esk River
Issued at 04:27 PM AEDT on Tuesday 21 October 2025
Flood Warning Number: 1

WITH FORECAST RAINFALL MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE AT CORRA LINN WEDNESDAY EVENING
Widespread moderate rainfall totals are forecast for the North Esk River catchment during Wednesday. River level rises are expected and minor flooding is possible from Wednesday evening.

Lower North Esk River around Corra Linn:
Minor flooding likely along the Lower North Esk River
The North Esk River at Corra Linn is currently at 1.86 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
With forecast rainfall the North Esk River at Corra Linn may reach around the minor flood level (2.70 m) Wednesday evening. Further rises are possible with forecast rainfall.

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.alert.tas.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 AM AEDT on Wednesday 22 October 2025.

Latest River Heights:
St Patricks River at Nunamara,0.77,steady,3:21 pm Tue 21/10/25
North Esk River at Ballroom,0.89,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
North Esk River at Corra Linn,1.86,steady,4:08 pm Tue 21/10/25

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania

Issued at 04:05 PM EDT on Tuesday 21 October 2025
for the period until midnight EDT Wednesday 22 October 2025

Wind Warnings for Tuesday 21 October
Gale Warning for the following areas:
South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast and South East Coast

Wind Warnings for Wednesday 22 October
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast and South East Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, South West Coast and Central West Coast

The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 10:00 pm EDT Tuesday.
================================================================================
Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
================================================================================

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Australia

Initial Flood Watch For The River Derwent, Northern And North East Catchments, And Parts Of Western Tasmania
Issued at 12:45 PM AEDT on Tuesday 21 October 2025
Flood Watch Number: 1
MINOR FLOODING LIKELY ACROSS THE FLOOD WATCH AREA FROM LATE WEDNESDAY, ISOLATED MODERATE FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY

Catchments likely to be affected include:
East Coastal Rivers (north of Bicheno)
Derwent River
Pieman River
Nelson Bay Coastal Rivers
Arthur River
Northwest and Central Coastal Rivers
Forth River
Mersey River
Meander River
Macquarie River
South Esk River
North Esk River
Tamar (Launceston)
Ringarooma River
North Coastal Rivers

For the latest flood and weather warnings see http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/warnings
For the latest rainfall and river level information see http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.alert.tas.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next Flood Watch will be issued by 01:00 PM AEDT on Wednesday 22 October 2025.