Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, National Water Operations
Initial Minor Flood Warning For The South Esk River
Issued at 04:48 PM AEDT on Tuesday 21 October 2025
Flood Warning Number: 1
MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE AT FINGAL, LEWIS HILL AND LLEWELLYN FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH FORECAST RAINFALL
Moderate to locally heavy rainfall is forecast across the South Esk catchment from Wednesday into Thursday. The catchment is wet following recent rainfall. River level rises are expected, and minor flooding is possible along the South Esk River at Fingal and Llewellyn, and along the St Pauls River at Lewis Hill from Wednesday evening
The situation is being closely monitored, and this warning will be updated as required.
St Pauls River:
Minor flooding is possible along the St Pauls Rivers.
The St Pauls River at Lewis Hill is currently at 0.32 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The St Pauls River at Lewis Hill may exceed the minor flood level (1.70 m) Wednesday afternoon. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.
South Esk River - Fingal to Llewellyn:
Minor flooding is possible along the South Esk River.
The South Esk River at Fingal is currently at 2.10 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The South Esk River at Fingal may exceed the minor flood level (4.00 m) Wednesday evening. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.
The South Esk River at Llewellyn is currently at 1.63 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The South Esk River at Llewellyn may exceed the minor flood level (4.00 m) Wednesday evening. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.
Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.alert.tas.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 AM AEDT on Wednesday 22 October 2025.
Latest River Heights:
Break O'Day River at Killymoon,0.35,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Upper Esk Road Bridge,0.74,steady,2:45 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Mathinna,0.41,steady,4:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Fingal,2.10,steady,4:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
St Pauls River at Lewis Hill,0.32,steady,4:26 pm Tue 21/10/25
St Pauls River at Above Avoca,0.53,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Llewellyn,1.63,steady,4:15 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Perth,1.83,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Longford,0.40,steady,4:09 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Trevallyn Pond,126.30,steady,4:15 pm Tue 21/10/25
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood.
Forecast
Akaroa (41.3045°S, 148.3167°E, 6m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers later this evening. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.
Forecast for Akaroa (41.3045°S, 148.3167°E, 6m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 7° 10° 6° 7° 6° 9° 5° Maximum 19° 15° 17° 18° 18° 17° 14° Chance of rain 90% 90% 10% 10% 70% 90% 60% Likely amount 1-5mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate No Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)22
(km/h)5
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)11
(km/h)7
(km/h)12
(km/h)11
(km/h)17
(km/h)20
(km/h)17
(km/h)Wind direction WNW NW NE ENE W NE WNW NE W NNW W SW SW S Relative humidity 55% 47% 94% 94% 60% 48% 55% 47% 60% 48% 79% 65% 51% 45% Dew point 4°C 8°C 10°C 13°C 4°C 6°C 4°C 6°C 5°C 7°C 10°C 10°C 1°C 2°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Akaroa (41.3045°S, 148.3167°E, 6m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase New moon First quarter Full moon Last quarter 5:41am EDT 6:10am EDT 7:34pm EDT 8:03pm EDT 5:41am EDT 7:27pm EDT New moon
New moon Oct 21 First quarter Oct 30 Full moon Nov 06 Last quarter Nov 12 -
Warnings
- Initial Minor Flood Warning For The South Esk River
- Initial Minor Flood Warning For The North Esk River
- Gale Warning for South West Coast. Strong Wind Warning for East of Flinders Island & Upper East and South East coasts
- Initial Flood Watch For The River Derwent, Northern And North East Catchments, And Parts Of Western Tasmania
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days