Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds
for Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, East Coast, Central Plateau, Midlands and parts of North East, North West Coast and Central North Forecast Districts.
Issued at 10:46 am Sunday, 19 October 2025.
Damaging winds for much of Tasmania today and Monday.
Weather Situation
Vigorous northwesterly flow has developed over much of Tasmania ahead of a cold front expected to cross the state today. These winds will turn westerly in its wake and weaken for a period overnight, before strengthening again ahead of a second cold front expected to cross later on Monday. The strong westerly winds are expected to gradually weaken into Monday evening.
DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, North East, East Coast, North West Coast, Central North, Central Plateau and Midlands
For ELEVATED TERRAIN and EXPOSED FAR SOUTHERN TASMANIA: DAMAGING NORTHWESTERLY WINDS averaging 65 to 75 km/h with peak gusts around 115 km/h are likely today, shifting westerly and persisting through Monday.
For the REMAINDER including Hobart: DAMAGING NORTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS around 100 km/h are possible today, temporarily easing into the evening. DAMAGING WESTERLY WINDS averaging 55 to 65 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are expected to redevelop around mid-morning on Monday.
Winds across the state are expected to ease below warning thresholds during Monday evening.
Locations which may be affected include St Helens, Swansea, Strahan, New Norfolk, Hobart, Oatlands, Bicheno, Orford, Bothwell, Geeveston, Dover and Campbell Town.
104 km/h wind gust was recorded at Hartz Mountains at 9:21 am.
154 km/h wind gust was recorded at Maatsuyker Island at 8:46 am.
139 km/h wind gust was recorded at Scotts Peak at 8:44 am.
117 km/h wind gust was recorded at Low Rocky Point at 7:10 am.
124 km/h wind gust was recorded at kunanyi at 7:02 am.
107 km/h wind gust was recorded at Tasman Island Airport at 4:02am.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Supervise children closely.
* Check that family and neighbours are aware of warnings.
* Manage pets and livestock.
* Secure outdoor items including furniture and play equipment.
* Be prepared in case of power outages and report any outages to TasNetworks on 132 004.
* Beware of damaged trees and power lines and take care when driving.
* Listen to the ABC radio or check www.ses.tas.gov.au for further advice.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.
The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEDT Sunday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Flinders Island (39.9403°S, 148.0258°E, 26m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely in the afternoon. Winds N 25 to 35 km/h increasing to 45 km/h before turning W 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 20s.
Forecast for Flinders Island (39.9403°S, 148.0258°E, 26m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 8° 12° 10° 10° 10° 9° 10° Maximum 21° 17° 15° 17° 15° 15° 15° Chance of rain 60% 30% 60% 70% 30% 50% 70% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate High Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 32
(km/h)35
(km/h)33
(km/h)45
(km/h)31
(km/h)27
(km/h)18
(km/h)23
(km/h)39
(km/h)41
(km/h)28
(km/h)33
(km/h)25
(km/h)28
(km/h)Wind direction N NW W W W W E WNW WSW W W WNW W W Relative humidity 72% 47% 74% 67% 64% 63% 91% 86% 65% 60% 65% 62% 69% 62% Dew point 11°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 6°C 7°C 12°C 14°C 6°C 7°C 5°C 7°C 7°C 7°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Flinders Island (39.9403°S, 148.0258°E, 26m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase New moon First quarter Full moon Last quarter 5:47am EDT 6:16am EDT 7:31pm EDT 7:59pm EDT 5:04am EDT 5:23pm EDT Waning crescent
New moon Oct 21 First quarter Oct 30 Full moon Nov 06 Last quarter Nov 12 -
Warnings
- Severe Weather Warning (Damaging Winds) Western, U Derwent, South East, East Coast, C Plateau, Midlands & North East, NW Coast & CN
- Severe Weather Warning (Damaging Winds) Western, U Derwent, South East, East Coast, C Plateau, Midlands & North East, NW Coast & CN
- Gale Warning for East of Flinders Island & Upper East, Lower East, South East & South West coasts
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days