Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds

for parts of North East and East Coast Forecast Districts.

Issued at 4:53 am Saturday, 11 October 2025.

Damaging winds persisting in the wake of a vigorous cold front early this morning

Weather Situation
A vigorous frontal system moved across Tasmania on Friday resulting in widespread damaging winds. The risk of damaging winds remains about northeastern Tasmania in the wake of the cold front early this morning.
DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
North East and East Coast
DAMAGING WINDS averaging 55 to 65 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are possible early this morning in the northeast.
Winds are expected to ease below warning thresholds later this morning, but will remain gusty.
Locations which may be affected include St Helens, Scamander, Bicheno, Fingal, Larapuna and Friendly Beaches.
Severe weather is no longer occurring in the Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, North West Coast, Central North, Central Plateau and Midlands districts and the warning for these districts is CANCELLED.
163 KM/H WIND GUST RECORDED AT MAATSUYKER ISLAND AT 3:00 PM on Friday.
139 KM/H WIND GUST RECORDED AT SCOTTS PEAK AT 7:41 AM on Friday.
130 km/h wind gust recorded at Kurundi at 5:09 pm on Friday.
124 km/h wind gust recorded at Tasman Island Airport at 11:19 am on Friday.
128 km/h wind gusts recorded at Hartz Mountains at 11:26 am on Friday.
111 km/h wind gust recorded at Tunnack Fire Station at 10:13 am on Friday.
103 km/h wind gust recorded at Swan Island at 9:55 am on Friday.
109 km/h wind gust recorded at Luncheon Hill at 9:11 am on Friday.
111 km/h wind gust recorded at Burnie at 7:45 am on Friday.
109 km/h wind gust recorded at Launceston Airport at 7:44 am on Friday.
128 km/h wind gust recorded at Mount Read at 7:09 am on Friday.
113 km/h wind gust recorded at Low Rocky Point at 6:56 am on Friday.
122 km/h wind gust recorded at Cape Grim at 6:51 am on Friday.
101 km/h wind gust recorded at Devonport Airport at 6:34 am on Friday.
100 km/h wind gust recorded at Cressy at 6:15 am on Friday.
104 km/h wind gust recorded at Strahan Airport at 5:47 am on Friday.
102 km/h wind gust recorded at Wynyard at 5:34 am on Friday.
63 km/h mean winds and 95 km/h wind gust recorded at Larapuna at 4:30 am this morning.
95 km/h wind gust recorded at Friendly Beaches at 4:26 am this morning.
Cancellation for the following areas:
Central North,Midlands,South East,Upper Derwent Valley,Central Plateau,Western,North West Coast

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Supervise children closely.
* Check that family and neighbours are aware of warnings.
* Manage pets and livestock.
* Secure outdoor items including furniture and play equipment.
* Be prepared in case of power outages and report any outages to TasNetworks on 132 004.
* Beware of damaged trees and power lines and take care when driving.
* Listen to the ABC radio or check www.ses.tas.gov.au for further advice.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 11:00 am AEDT Saturday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds

for parts of North East and East Coast Forecast Districts.

Issued at 4:53 am Saturday, 11 October 2025.

Damaging winds persisting in the wake of a vigorous cold front early this morning

Weather Situation
A vigorous frontal system moved across Tasmania on Friday resulting in widespread damaging winds. The risk of damaging winds remains about northeastern Tasmania in the wake of the cold front early this morning.
DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
North East and East Coast
DAMAGING WINDS averaging 55 to 65 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are possible early this morning in the northeast.
Winds are expected to ease below warning thresholds later this morning, but will remain gusty.
Locations which may be affected include St Helens, Scamander, Bicheno, Fingal, Larapuna and Friendly Beaches.
Severe weather is no longer occurring in the Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, North West Coast, Central North, Central Plateau and Midlands districts and the warning for these districts is CANCELLED.
163 KM/H WIND GUST RECORDED AT MAATSUYKER ISLAND AT 3:00 PM on Friday.
139 KM/H WIND GUST RECORDED AT SCOTTS PEAK AT 7:41 AM on Friday.
130 km/h wind gust recorded at Kurundi at 5:09 pm on Friday.
124 km/h wind gust recorded at Tasman Island Airport at 11:19 am on Friday.
128 km/h wind gusts recorded at Hartz Mountains at 11:26 am on Friday.
111 km/h wind gust recorded at Tunnack Fire Station at 10:13 am on Friday.
103 km/h wind gust recorded at Swan Island at 9:55 am on Friday.
109 km/h wind gust recorded at Luncheon Hill at 9:11 am on Friday.
111 km/h wind gust recorded at Burnie at 7:45 am on Friday.
109 km/h wind gust recorded at Launceston Airport at 7:44 am on Friday.
128 km/h wind gust recorded at Mount Read at 7:09 am on Friday.
113 km/h wind gust recorded at Low Rocky Point at 6:56 am on Friday.
122 km/h wind gust recorded at Cape Grim at 6:51 am on Friday.
101 km/h wind gust recorded at Devonport Airport at 6:34 am on Friday.
100 km/h wind gust recorded at Cressy at 6:15 am on Friday.
104 km/h wind gust recorded at Strahan Airport at 5:47 am on Friday.
102 km/h wind gust recorded at Wynyard at 5:34 am on Friday.
63 km/h mean winds and 95 km/h wind gust recorded at Larapuna at 4:30 am this morning.
95 km/h wind gust recorded at Friendly Beaches at 4:26 am this morning.
Cancellation for the following areas:
Central North,Midlands,South East,Upper Derwent Valley,Central Plateau,Western,North West Coast

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Supervise children closely.
* Check that family and neighbours are aware of warnings.
* Manage pets and livestock.
* Secure outdoor items including furniture and play equipment.
* Be prepared in case of power outages and report any outages to TasNetworks on 132 004.
* Beware of damaged trees and power lines and take care when driving.
* Listen to the ABC radio or check www.ses.tas.gov.au for further advice.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 11:00 am AEDT Saturday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Bush Walkers Weather Alert

for Western and Central Plateau forecast districts

Issued at 04:01 AM EDT on Saturday 11 October 2025

snow for the following areas:
Western and Central Plateau forecast districts
Bush walkers are advised that snow as low as 700 metres is expected during Saturday. These hazardous conditions are expected to occur in the Western and Central Plateau forecast districts.

The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EDT Saturday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania

Issued at 04:00 AM EDT on Saturday 11 October 2025
for the period until midnight EDT Sunday 12 October 2025

Wind Warnings for Saturday 11 October
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Central North Coast, East of Flinders Island, South East Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Storm Bay, Channel, South West Lakes, Far North West Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, Upper East Coast and Lower East Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Central Plateau Lakes,Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bays,Derwent Estuary

Wind Warnings for Sunday 12 October
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, East of Flinders Island, Lower East Coast, South East Coast and South West Coast

The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 10:00 am EDT Saturday.
================================================================================
Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
================================================================================

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, National Water Operations

Minor Flood Warning For The Mersey River
Issued at 04:38 PM AEDT on Friday 10 October 2025
Flood Warning Number: 2

MINOR FLOODING LIKELY AT KIMBERLEY EARLY FRIDAY EVENING
Moderate rainfall totals were recorded over the Mersey River catchment during Thursday and Friday morning, with further rainfall forecast for the remainder of Friday into Saturday. Minor flooding is likely along the Mersey River at Kimberley early Friday evening.

Mersey River - Liena to Kimberley:
Minor flooding likely along the Mersey River at Kimberley.
The Mersey River at Kimberley is currently at 2.26 m and rising, below the minor flood level.
The Mersey River at Kimberley is likely to exceed the minor flood level (2.40 m) early Friday evening. The river may reach around 2.60 m early Saturday morning, with minor flooding.

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.alert.tas.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 10:30 AM AEDT on Saturday 11 October 2025.

Latest River Heights:
Mersey River at Liena,1.59,steady,4:15 pm Fri 10/10/25
Mersey River at Kimberley,2.26,rising,4:29 pm Fri 10/10/25
Mersey River at Shale Road,3.20,rising,3:00 pm Fri 10/10/25
Mersey River at Latrobe Bridge,2.22,steady,4:28 pm Fri 10/10/25

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, National Water Operations

Moderate Flood Warning For The River Derwent
Issued at 04:12 PM AEDT on Friday 10 October 2025
Flood Warning Number: 4

MODERATE FLOODING MAY OCCUR AT BELOW MEADOWBANK DAM SATURDAY MORNING WITH FORECAST RAINFALL
MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AT MACQUARIE PLAINS AND NEW NORFOLK FROM SATURDAY MORNING WITH FORECAST RAINFALL
Moderate rainfall totals were recorded over the Derwent River catchment during Thursday and Friday morning. Further rainfall forecast for the remainder of Friday and into Saturday. Minor flooding is expected at Below Meadowbank Dam from late Friday afternoon, with moderate flooding possible Saturday morning. Minor flooding may also occur at Macquarie Plains and New Norfolk Saturday morning.

Styx River:
Minor flooding is expected along the Styx River from Friday afternoon.
River Derwent below Meadowbank Dam:
Moderate flooding may occur along the River Derwent below Meadowbank Dam. Minor flooding is possible at Macquarie Plains.
The Derwent River below Meadowbank Dam is currently at 1.92 m and rising, below the minor flood level.
The Derwent River below Meadowbank Dam is expected to exceed the minor flood level (4.10 m) from late Friday afternoon. The river may reach around the moderate flood level (6.10 m) Saturday morning with forecast rainfall.

The Derwent River at Macquarie Plains is currently at 0.83 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The Derwent River at Macquarie Plains may reach around the minor flood level (4.00 m) Saturday morning with forecast rainfall.

River Derwent around New Norfolk:
Minor flooding is possible along the River Derwent at New Norfolk.
The Derwent River at New Norfolk is currently at 0.66 m and falling, below the minor flood level.
The Derwent River at New Norfolk may exceed the minor flood level (2.00 m) Saturday morning. The river may reach around 2.30 m Saturday afternoon, with forecast rainfall.

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.alert.tas.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 01:30 PM AEDT on Saturday 11 October 2025.

Latest River Heights:
Derwent River at Below Lake St. Clair,2.05,steady,3:45 pm Fri 10/10/25
Ouse River at Ashton,0.58,steady,3:30 pm Fri 10/10/25
Ouse River at Ouse (3B Weir),0.70,steady,3:45 pm Fri 10/10/25
Clyde River at Bothwell,0.09,steady,3:00 pm Fri 10/10/25
Derwent River below Meadowbank Dam,1.92,rising,3:45 pm Fri 10/10/25
Tyenna River at Newbury,1.05,steady,3:00 pm Fri 10/10/25
Styx River at Bruces Bridge,1.96,rising,3:56 pm Fri 10/10/25
Derwent River at Macquarie Plains,0.83,steady,3:36 pm Fri 10/10/25
Derwent River at New Norfolk Bridge,2.45,falling,3:00 pm Fri 10/10/25
Derwent River at New Norfolk,0.66,falling,3:54 pm Fri 10/10/25

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Australia

Flood Watch For The Western, Northern And Parts Of The North East Catchments
Issued at 12:58 PM AEDT on Friday 10 October 2025
Flood Watch Number: 3
MINOR FLOODING AND ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MULTIPLE CATCHMENTS FROM FRIDAY

Catchments likely to be affected include:
Huon River
Channel Coastal Rivers (South East Cape to Gordon)
Gordon-Franklin Rivers
King-Henty Rivers
Pieman River
Nelson Bay Coastal Rivers
Arthur River
Northwest and Central Coastal Rivers
Mersey River
South Esk River
Ringarooma River
North Coastal Rivers

Flood Warnings are current for the following catchment(s): Derwent, Huon, Mersey, Meander and Nth Esk

For the latest flood and weather warnings see http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/warnings
For the latest rainfall and river level information see http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.alert.tas.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next Flood Watch will be issued by 01:00 PM AEDT on Saturday 11 October 2025.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, National Water Operations

Minor Flood Warning For The Meander River
Issued at 10:35 AM AEDT on Friday 10 October 2025
Flood Warning Number: 2

MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE AT STRATHBRIDGE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
Moderate rainfall totals have been recorded across the Meander River catchment in the 24 hours to 9:00 am Friday. Further moderate rainfall with locally heavy falls are possible for the remainder of Friday and into Saturday. The catchment is wet following recent rainfall. Minor flooding is possible along the Meander River at Strathbridge overnight Friday into Saturday.

Meander River below Strathbridge:
Minor flooding is possible along the Meander River around Strathbridge.
The Meander River at Strathbridge is currently at 2.11 m and rising, below the minor flood level.
The Meander River at Strathbridge may exceed the minor flood level (5.00 m) overnight Friday into Saturday. The river may peak near 5.60 m Saturday afternoon, with minor flooding.

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.alert.tas.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 AM AEDT on Saturday 11 October 2025.

Latest River Heights:
Meander River at Meander,1.30,rising,10:27 am Fri 10/10/25
Meander River at Deloraine Railway Bridge,1.06,rising,10:00 am Fri 10/10/25
Meander River at Strathbridge,2.11,rising,10:00 am Fri 10/10/25
Liffey River at Upstream West Channel,1.05,rising,10:00 am Fri 10/10/25
Liffey River at Carrick,0.52,steady,9:00 am Fri 10/10/25
Meander River at Westwood Bridge,1.57,rising,10:18 am Fri 10/10/25

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood.