Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy Rainfall
for parts of North East, East Coast, Central North and Midlands Forecast Districts.
Issued at 9:19 pm Wednesday, 21 January 2026.
Heavy rainfall continuing over parts of northeast Tasmania, although contracting east and easing.
Weather Situation
The passage of a cold front combines with an upper-level trough and high atmospheric moisture to generate severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall over parts of northeast Tasmania this evening.
HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
North East, East Coast, Central North and Midlands
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding in the warning area over the next several hour or two. Locations which may be affected include Fingal and Scamander. Thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are gradually contracting eastward and easing.
Severe thunderstorms are no longer occurring in the South East, North West Coast and Central Plateau districts and the warning for these districts is CANCELLED.
87.2 MM OF RAINFALL WAS RECORDED AT LLEWELLYN IN THE 3 HOURS TO 7:14 PM.
Cancellation for the following areas:
South East,Central Plateau,North West Coast
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 12:20 am Thursday.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Mengha (40.9007°S, 145.2372°E, 71m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far W in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds S 25 to 40 km/h tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 22.
Forecast for Mengha (40.9007°S, 145.2372°E, 71m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary 
Minimum 11° 10° 15° 15° 16° 15° 16° Maximum 18° 18° 20° 24° 20° 20° 20° Chance of rain 5% 30% 5% 5% 5% 20% 80% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Extreme Very High Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 19
(km/h)23
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)32
(km/h)31
(km/h)16
(km/h)16
(km/h)23
(km/h)23
(km/h)26
(km/h)18
(km/h)18
(km/h)23
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SW ENE NE ENE ENE SW WSW ENE ENE E ENE SW SW Relative humidity 57% 38% 66% 54% 72% 67% 67% 41% 72% 60% 76% 68% 71% 56% Dew point 6°C 4°C 9°C 9°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 10°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 15°C 13°C 11°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Mengha (40.9007°S, 145.2372°E, 71m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase First quarter Full moon Last quarter New moon 5:42am EDT 6:14am EDT 8:48pm EDT 9:20pm EDT 9:26am EDT 10:36pm EDT 
Waxing crescent
First quarter Jan 26 Full moon Feb 02 Last quarter Feb 09 New moon Feb 17 -
Warnings
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days
