Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds And Heavy Rainfall
for East Gippsland and parts of Central, North Central, North East and West and South Gippsland Forecast Districts.
Issued at 4:43 am Friday, 27 March 2026.
Damaging southerly winds, heavy rainfall and possible blizzard conditions developing over parts of the state on Friday.
Weather Situation
A vigorous coastal low has developed offshore of the southern NSW coast, leading to damaging southerly winds developing over parts of the central ranges and east of the state today. Heavy rainfall is also expected to develop over parts of East Gippsland, as these winds combine with ample moisture to rise over topography. This may also bring blizzard conditions to alpine areas. The low will move further offshore later on Friday, leading to an easing of conditions across the state.
DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
Central, East Gippsland, North Central, North East and West and South Gippsland
DAMAGING SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS with peak gusts of around 90 km/h are occurring over parts of the central coastline this morning, including MELBOURNE area. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS are also expected to develop over parts of the central ranges and east before sunrise. Wind gusts may reach 100 km/h about the East Gippsland coast.
DAMAGING SOUTHERLY WINDS averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts of around 100 km/h are likely about alpine areas above 1600 metres from this morning.
HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is expected to develop over the elevated terrain of East Gippsland on Friday morning. Six-hourly rainfall totals between 60 to 80 mm are likely.
BLIZZARD conditions are forecast over alpine areas above 1600 metres this morning and into the early afternoon.
Conditions are expected to ease below warning thresholds by Friday evening.
Flood warnings are current over the area. See https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts for details.
Locations which may be affected include Geelong, Melbourne, Wonthaggi, Orbost, Daylesford, Frankston, Falls Creek, Buchan, Kyneton, Rosebud, Mallacoota and Mt Hotham.
109 km/h wind gust was recorded at South Channel Island at 1:41 am.
94 km/h wind gust was recorded at St Kilda Harbour at 2:10 am.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 11:00 am AEDT Friday.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Agnes (38.6701°S, 146.3962°E, 19m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, becoming less likely in the early afternoon. Snow falling above 1400 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast in the early morning. Heavy falls possible about the ranges in the morning and early afternoon. Damaging winds possible. Winds S/SW 25 to 40 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 17.
Forecast for Agnes (38.6701°S, 146.3962°E, 19m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary
Minimum 11° 12° 12° 11° 13° 17° 15° Maximum 14° 17° 18° 20° 25° 26° 21° Chance of rain 60% 90% 20% 5% 5% 40% 70% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 23
(km/h)24
(km/h)11
(km/h)17
(km/h)7
(km/h)13
(km/h)4
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)17
(km/h)7
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SW SW SW WNW WSW NE SSE NE ENE N NW NW W Relative humidity 67% 53% 83% 65% 84% 64% 88% 59% 79% 41% 52% 42% 79% 66% Dew point 7°C 5°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 11°C 10°C 13°C 15°C 14°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Agnes (38.6701°S, 146.3962°E, 19m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase Full moon Last quarter New moon First quarter 6:59am EDT 7:26am EDT 7:16pm EDT 7:43pm EDT 4:14pm EDT 12:35am EDT
Waxing gibbous
Full moon Apr 02 Last quarter Apr 10 New moon Apr 17 First quarter Apr 24 -
Warnings
- Severe Weather Warning (Damaging Winds & Heavy Rainfall) for East Gippsland & Central, North Central, North East & West & South Gippsland
- Severe Weather Warning (Damaging Winds & Heavy Rainfall) for East Gippsland & Central, North Central, North East & West & South Gippsland
- Sheep Graziers Warning Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, W & S Gippsland & East Gippsland
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days