Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy, Locally Intense Rainfall And Damaging Winds
for North Central, Wimmera and parts of Central, Mallee, South West, Northern Country and North East Forecast Districts.
Issued at 9:03 pm Friday, 27 February 2026.
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WITH INTENSE RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN DISTRICTS. Other severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall over parts of Victoria.
Weather Situation
Slow-moving thunderstorms are continuing in a very humid environment, bringing heavy to intense rainfall and damaging winds to parts of Victoria this evening.
HEAVY, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL and DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
Central, Mallee, South West, Northern Country, North Central, North East and Wimmera
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce heavy, locally intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding and damaging winds over the next several hours in parts of the Mallee, South West, North Central, Wimmera, Central and Northern Country districts. Locations which may be affected include Horsham, Maryborough, Stawell, Warracknabeal, Edenhope and Birchip.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in the North Central, Wimmera and parts of the Central, Mallee, South West, Northern Country and North East districts. Locations which may be affected include Horsham, Seymour, Maryborough, Ballarat, Stawell and Hamilton.
34.2 MM WAS RECORDED AT KELLALAC (WARRACKNABEAL AIRPORT) IN THE 30 MINUTES TO 8:36 PM.
35.8 MM WAS RECORDED AT BROADFORD IN THE 30 MINUTES TO 7:48 PM.
42.4 MM WAS RECORDED AT HORSHAM IN THE 30 MINUTES TO 7:30 PM.
44.0 MM WAS RECORDED AT LILYDALE LAKE IN THE 60 MINUTES TO 5:00 PM.
27.4 mm was recorded at Edenhope Airport in the 30 minutes to 8:18 pm.
27.4 mm was recorded at Longerenong in the 60 minutes to 8:12 pm.
124 km/h wind gust was recorded at Horsham Airport at 07:03 pm.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
The next warning is due to be issued by 12:05 am Saturday.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Avon Plains (36.5333°S, 142.8833°E, 137m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe with heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding in the morning and afternoon. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h turning NE 15 to 20 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 20 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
Forecast for Avon Plains (36.5333°S, 142.8833°E, 137m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary
Minimum 22° 22° 21° 20° 20° 15° 14° Maximum 28° 25° 23° 27° 27° 27° 27° Chance of rain 80% 90% 90% 70% 50% 5% 20% Likely amount 5-10mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 22
(km/h)18
(km/h)19
(km/h)21
(km/h)17
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)12
(km/h)8
(km/h)12
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)9
(km/h)-
(km/h)Wind direction ENE E ENE ENE ENE NE SE ESE SSW WSW SW SW S - Relative humidity 70% 56% 75% 63% 88% 81% 85% 62% 82% 56% 72% 38% 72% n/a Dew point 17°C 18°C 18°C 17°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 17°C 18°C 13°C 11°C 13°C n/a -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Avon Plains (36.5333°S, 142.8833°E, 137m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase Full moon Last quarter New moon First quarter 6:46am EDT 7:12am EDT 8:09pm EDT 8:35pm EDT 6:20pm EDT 3:06am EDT
Waxing gibbous
Full moon Mar 03 Last quarter Mar 11 New moon Mar 19 First quarter Mar 26 -
Warnings
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days