Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Melbourne Area
for Intense Rainfall
for parts of Northern and Outer East Local Warning Areas.
Issued at 6:09 pm Friday, 27 February 2026.
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WITH INTENSE RAINFALL OVER MELBOURNE'S OUTER NORTH AND OUTER EAST.
INTENSE RAINFALL for the following areas:
Northern and Outer East
The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 6:05 pm, VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS likely to produce intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding were detected near the area north of Mt Macedon, the area northeast of Gisborne and the area south of Warburton. These thunderstorms are moving towards the east to southeast. They are forecast to affect the area east of Gisborne and the area east of Pakenham by 6:20 pm.
44.0 MM WAS RECORDED AT LILYDALE LAKE IN THE 60 MINUTES TO 5:00 PM.
21.6 mm was recorded at Mt Evelyn in the 30 minutes to 5:00 pm.
Cancellation for the following areas:
Western,Inner East,South East
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
A more general severe thunderstorm warning is also current for the Central, South West and parts of the East Gippsland, Mallee, North Central, North East, West and South Gippsland and Wimmera districts.
Other warnings may be current.
The next warning is due to be issued by 6:40 pm.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Bellbrae (38.3296°S, 144.2626°E, 22m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe with heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the early afternoon then becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29.
Forecast for Bellbrae (38.3296°S, 144.2626°E, 22m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary
Minimum 17° 19° 19° 17° 16° 12° 13° Maximum 26° 26° 24° 21° 22° 25° 24° Chance of rain 80% 90% 90% 70% 60% 5% 40% Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)14
(km/h)12
(km/h)19
(km/h)13
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)6
(km/h)14
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)5
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction E E ENE NE NNE NNE S SSE SW SSW W SW WSW S Relative humidity 88% 61% 81% 59% 90% 80% 89% 79% 86% 70% 80% 52% 81% 64% Dew point 18°C 17°C 19°C 16°C 19°C 19°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 12°C 14°C 14°C 16°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Bellbrae (38.3296°S, 144.2626°E, 22m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase Full moon Last quarter New moon First quarter 6:38am EDT 7:05am EDT 8:05pm EDT 8:32pm EDT 6:20pm EDT 2:54am EDT
Waxing gibbous
Full moon Mar 03 Last quarter Mar 11 New moon Mar 19 First quarter Mar 26 -
Warnings
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Melbourne Area (Intense Rainfall) for parts of Northern and Outer East Local Warning Areas
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Melbourne Area (Intense Rainfall) for parts of Northern and Outer East Local Warning Areas
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy, Locally Intense Rain) Central, SW & E Gippsland, Mallee, N Central, NE, W & S Gippsland & Wimmera
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy, Locally Intense Rain) Central, SW & E Gippsland, Mallee, N Central, NE, W & S Gippsland & Wimmera
- Strong Wind Warning for Central, Central Gippsland and East Gippsland coasts
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days