Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy Rainfall
for parts of Central, East Gippsland, Mallee, North East, West and South Gippsland, Wimmera, South West and North Central Forecast Districts.
Issued at 2:58 pm Friday, 27 February 2026.
Severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall developing over parts of Victoria this afternoon.
Weather Situation
Slow-moving thunderstorms are continuing to develop in a very humid environment, bringing isolated heavy rainfall to parts of Victoria this afternoon.
HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
Central, East Gippsland, Mallee, South West, North Central, North East, West and South Gippsland and Wimmera
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Bacchus Marsh, Bright, Falls Creek, Murrayville, Dargo and Buchan.
Severe thunderstorms are no longer occurring in the Northern Country district and the warning for this district is CANCELLED.
Further thunderstorms are expected to develop across the central ranges and across western Victoria today with possible heavy rainfall.
24.2 mm was recorded at Tambo River (Swifts Creek) in the 30 minutes to 2:00 pm.
Cancellation for the following areas:
Northern Country
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
The next warning is due to be issued by 6:00 pm.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Box Hill (37.8175°S, 145.1193°E, 79m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening, possibly severe with heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon.
Forecast for Box Hill (37.8175°S, 145.1193°E, 79m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary
Minimum 16° 18° 20° 19° 18° 17° 13° Maximum 28° 29° 27° 24° 23° 23° 27° Chance of rain 80% 60% 80% 80% 70% 90% 10% Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 4
(km/h)12
(km/h)3
(km/h)8
(km/h)8
(km/h)16
(km/h)13
(km/h)16
(km/h)6
(km/h)12
(km/h)3
(km/h)13
(km/h)4
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction E ENE ENE E NE NNE NE NNE N WSW W SW WSW SW Relative humidity 86% 52% 89% 58% 74% 56% 89% 79% 92% 75% 92% 78% 83% 53% Dew point 17°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 17°C 16°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 14°C 15°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Box Hill (37.8175°S, 145.1193°E, 79m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase Full moon Last quarter New moon First quarter 6:34am EDT 7:01am EDT 8:03pm EDT 8:30pm EDT 5:31pm EDT 1:42am EDT
Waxing gibbous
Full moon Mar 03 Last quarter Mar 11 New moon Mar 19 First quarter Mar 26 -
Warnings
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days