Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Weather Warning
for Heavy Rainfall
for Northern Country, North Central and parts of Central, North East, West and South Gippsland and Mallee Forecast Districts.
Issued at 4:46 pm Monday, 23 February 2026.
Heavy rainfall developing on Tuesday
Weather Situation
Very high moisture links with a frontal system moving through the state on Tuesday. Areas of rainfall and embedded thunderstorms will develop during the morning and increase in the afternoon.
HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
Central, Mallee, Northern Country, North Central, North East and West and South Gippsland
HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is forecast for central areas of the state on Tuesday. The risk of heavy rainfall is possible around the western suburbs of Melbourne from Tuesday morning, before becoming more likely as it extends over the eastern suburbs and the remainder of the warning area during the afternoon and evening. Six-hourly rainfall totals between 40 to 70 mm are possible. Conditions are expected to ease during Wednesday morning.
Separate Flood Watches and/or Warnings may be current at the time of issue. Please refer to https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts/ for more information.
Locations which may be affected include Bendigo, Shepparton, Seymour, Melbourne, Traralgon, Bacchus Marsh, Frankston, Warragul, Euroa, Yarra Glen, and Mansfield.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 11:00 pm AEDT Monday.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Buffalo River (36.6252°S, 146.6862°E, 225m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
7 day forecast
Today: Becoming cloudy. Very high chance of rain in the W, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, possibly severe with heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NW in the morning then tending NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 34.
Forecast for Buffalo River (36.6252°S, 146.6862°E, 225m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary
Minimum 21° 20° 17° 17° 18° 18° 19° Maximum 30° 26° 25° 26° 26° 27° 24° Chance of rain 90% 90% 50% 60% 50% 60% 80% Likely amount 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 10-20mm UV index Extreme Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Extreme Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)11
(km/h)6
(km/h)7
(km/h)8
(km/h)4
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)5
(km/h)6
(km/h)6
(km/h)10
(km/h)7
(km/h)7
(km/h)Wind direction ENE NNE SSE SSW SSE SSW ESE NW ESE NE E NE E NE Relative humidity 69% 52% 92% 63% 72% 55% 78% 54% 79% 53% 71% 54% 76% 67% Dew point 18°C 19°C 20°C 18°C 14°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 16°C 18°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Buffalo River (36.6252°S, 146.6862°E, 225m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase First quarter Full moon Last quarter New moon 6:29am EDT 6:55am EDT 7:59pm EDT 8:26pm EDT 2:09pm EDT 11:42pm EDT
1st quarter
First quarter Feb 24 Full moon Mar 03 Last quarter Mar 11 New moon Mar 19 -
Warnings
- Severe Weather Warning (Heavy Rainfall) for Northern Country, North Central & parts of Central, North East, West & South Gippsland & Mallee
- Severe Weather Warning (Heavy Rainfall) for Northern Country, North Central & parts of Central, North East, West & South Gippsland & Mallee
- Final Flood Warning For Tallangatta Creek
-
Temperature for next 7 days
-
Rain for next 7 days