Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy To Intense Rainfall, Large Hailstones And Damaging Winds
for East Gippsland and parts of North East, West and South Gippsland, Central and South West Forecast Districts.
Issued at 1:52 pm Thursday, 15 January 2026.
INTENSE RAINFALL OCCURRING ABOUT THE OTWAYS, HEAVY RAINFALL DEVELOPING ABOUT GIPPSLAND THIS AFTERNOON.
Weather Situation
Heavy to intense rainfall is likely to impact parts of the Otways, with heavy rainfall about Wilson's Promontory and East Gippsland this afternoon, as an upper level low pressure system generates slow moving showers and thunderstorms over the area. Other areas may also be added to the warning as storms develop.
HEAVY to INTENSE RAINFALL, LARGE HAILSTONES and DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
Central, East Gippsland, South West, North East and West and South Gippsland
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the West and South Gippsland, Central and South West districts. Locations which may be affected include Yarram.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the Central and South West districts. Locations which may be affected include Apollo Bay.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding, large hailstones and damaging winds over the next several hours in the East Gippsland and parts of the North East and West and South Gippsland districts. Locations which may be affected include Bright, Falls Creek, Dargo, Buchan, Mt Hotham and Omeo.
Significant observations to time of warning:
45.6 MM WAS RECORDED AT MT COWLEY IN THE 1 HOUR TO 11:15 AM.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
The next warning is due to be issued by 4:55 pm.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Delburn (38.3326°S, 146.2284°E, 240m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of smoke haze about the ranges. A thunderstorm likely in the afternoon and evening, possibly severe with heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding. Damaging winds possible near the coast in the evening. Winds E/SE 25 to 40 km/h.
Forecast for Delburn (38.3326°S, 146.2284°E, 240m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary
Minimum 16° 15° 14° 14° 15° 16° 15° Maximum 24° 19° 21° 23° 25° 26° 27° Chance of rain 80% 80% 70% 30% 50% 70% 30% Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Very High Extreme Very High Extreme Very High Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)15
(km/h)27
(km/h)31
(km/h)27
(km/h)33
(km/h)28
(km/h)33
(km/h)23
(km/h)26
(km/h)20
(km/h)24
(km/h)19
(km/h)22
(km/h)Wind direction SE SE ESE ESE E E E E E E E ESE ESE ESE Relative humidity 85% 66% 90% 77% 81% 67% 80% 57% 77% 54% 77% 55% 71% 46% Dew point 17°C 17°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 13°C 14°C 13°C 15°C 14°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 13°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Delburn (38.3326°S, 146.2284°E, 240m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase New moon First quarter Full moon Last quarter 5:37am EDT 6:07am EDT 8:39pm EDT 9:10pm EDT 2:26am EDT 6:07pm EDT
Waning crescent
New moon Jan 19 First quarter Jan 26 Full moon Feb 02 Last quarter Feb 09 -
Warnings
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy To Intense Rain, Hail & Damaging Winds) E Gippsland & North East, W & S Gippsland, Central & South West
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy To Intense Rain, Hail & Damaging Winds) E Gippsland & North East, W & S Gippsland, Central & South West
- Sheep Graziers Warning for West and South Gippsland
- Severe Weather Warning (Damaging Winds) for parts of Central, North Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland
- Severe Weather Warning (Damaging Winds) for parts of Central, North Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days