Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy Rainfall
for parts of East Gippsland, North East, West and South Gippsland and Central Forecast Districts.
Issued at 3:54 pm Sunday, 8 February 2026.
Heavy rainfall with thunderstorms in parts of eastern Victoria this afternoon.
Weather Situation
A surface trough moves through Victoria today, with a trough lingering over the eastern ranges. These trigger thunderstorms in a moist airmass, giving rise to thunderstorms with the risk of heavy rainfall.
HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
Central, East Gippsland, North East and West and South Gippsland
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Dargo, Mt Baw Baw and Maffra.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
The next warning is due to be issued by 6:55 pm.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Ferny Creek (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely in the evening. A thunderstorm likely in the afternoon and evening, possibly severe with damaging winds, large hail and heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding. Winds NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/SW in the early afternoon then tending SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon.
Forecast for Ferny Creek (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary
Minimum 16° 14° 12° 16° 8° 7° 8° Maximum 27° 21° 24° 30° 15° 17° 23° Chance of rain 70% 50% 10% 60% 40% 20% 5% Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Very High Very High Extreme Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Extreme High - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)9
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)4
(km/h)3
(km/h)12
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)14
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)7
(km/h)Wind direction N WSW SW SW S SSW N W WSW SW S SSW SSE SSW Relative humidity 67% 69% 96% 72% 90% 54% 45% 43% 70% 51% 71% 53% 77% 52% Dew point 15°C 17°C 15°C 15°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 14°C 5°C 4°C 5°C 6°C 9°C 12°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Ferny Creek (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase Last quarter New moon First quarter Full moon 6:11am EDT 6:40am EDT 8:26pm EDT 8:54pm EDT 11:23pm EDT 12:57pm EDT
Waning gibbous
Last quarter Feb 09 New moon Feb 17 First quarter Feb 24 Full moon Mar 03 -
Warnings
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy Rainfall) for parts of East Gippsland, North East, West and South Gippsland and Central
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy Rainfall) for parts of East Gippsland, North East, West and South Gippsland and Central
- Cancelled Road Weather Alert Melb Inner Suburbs, Melb Western Suburbs, Melb Nthn Suburbs, Melb Eastern Suburbs, Melb SEern Suburbs
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days