Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy To Intense Rainfall

for parts of East Gippsland, West and South Gippsland, Central and South West Forecast Districts.

Issued at 12:40 pm Thursday, 15 January 2026.

INTENSE RAINFALL OCCURRING ABOUT THE OTWAYS, HEAVY RAINFALL DEVELOPING ABOUT GIPPSLAND THIS AFTERNOON.

Weather Situation
Heavy to intense rainfall is likely to impact parts of the Otways, with heavy rainfall about Wilson's Promontory and East Gippsland this afternoon, as an upper level low pressure system generates slow moving showers and thunderstorms over the area. Other areas may also be added to the warning as storms develop.
HEAVY to INTENSE RAINFALL for the following areas:
Central, East Gippsland, South West and West and South Gippsland
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the Central and South West districts about the Otways, inland from Lorne.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the East Gippsland, West and South Gippsland, Central and South West districts. Locations which may be affected include Buchan, Apollo Bay, Tidal River, Yarram, Combienbar and Gelantipy.
A separate Severe Weather Warning is current for damaging winds over parts of Victoria, developing later this afternoon and evening. All warnings can be found here: https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts
Significant observations to time of warning:
45.6 MM WAS RECORDED AT MT COWLEY IN THE 1 HOUR TO 11:15 AM.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.

The next warning is due to be issued by 3:40 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy To Intense Rainfall

for parts of East Gippsland, West and South Gippsland, Central and South West Forecast Districts.

Issued at 12:40 pm Thursday, 15 January 2026.

INTENSE RAINFALL OCCURRING ABOUT THE OTWAYS, HEAVY RAINFALL DEVELOPING ABOUT GIPPSLAND THIS AFTERNOON.

Weather Situation
Heavy to intense rainfall is likely to impact parts of the Otways, with heavy rainfall about Wilson's Promontory and East Gippsland this afternoon, as an upper level low pressure system generates slow moving showers and thunderstorms over the area. Other areas may also be added to the warning as storms develop.
HEAVY to INTENSE RAINFALL for the following areas:
Central, East Gippsland, South West and West and South Gippsland
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the Central and South West districts about the Otways, inland from Lorne.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the East Gippsland, West and South Gippsland, Central and South West districts. Locations which may be affected include Buchan, Apollo Bay, Tidal River, Yarram, Combienbar and Gelantipy.
A separate Severe Weather Warning is current for damaging winds over parts of Victoria, developing later this afternoon and evening. All warnings can be found here: https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts
Significant observations to time of warning:
45.6 MM WAS RECORDED AT MT COWLEY IN THE 1 HOUR TO 11:15 AM.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.

The next warning is due to be issued by 3:40 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria

Warning to Sheep Graziers

for West and South Gippsland forecast district

Issued at 10:43 AM EDT on Thursday 15 January 2026

Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
West and South Gippsland forecast district
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, rain and showers and strong southeasterly winds are expected during Thursday and Friday. Areas likely to be affected include parts of the West and South Gippsland forecast district. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.

The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EDT Thursday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds

for parts of Central, North Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:27 am Thursday, 15 January 2026.

Damaging southeasterly winds possible tonight.

Weather Situation
A trough moving slowly across northeast Victoria today will direct strong southeasterly winds over southern and central parts of the state this evening.
DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
Central, East Gippsland, North Central and West and South Gippsland
DAMAGING SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS, averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts of around 90 km/h are possible this evening about the Macedon Ranges, the Bellarine and Mornington Peninsulas, the Surf Coast, the Bass Coast and much of the Gippsland coast. DAMAGING WINDS are more likely about exposed coastal locations in West and South Gippsland.
Winds are expected to develop during the evening and then ease below warning thresholds early on Friday morning.
Locations which may be affected include Wonthaggi, Daylesford, Castlemaine, Kyneton, Torquay, Rosebud and Tidal River.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEDT Thursday.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds

for parts of Central, North Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:27 am Thursday, 15 January 2026.

Damaging southeasterly winds possible tonight.

Weather Situation
A trough moving slowly across northeast Victoria today will direct strong southeasterly winds over southern and central parts of the state this evening.
DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
Central, East Gippsland, North Central and West and South Gippsland
DAMAGING SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS, averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts of around 90 km/h are possible this evening about the Macedon Ranges, the Bellarine and Mornington Peninsulas, the Surf Coast, the Bass Coast and much of the Gippsland coast. DAMAGING WINDS are more likely about exposed coastal locations in West and South Gippsland.
Winds are expected to develop during the evening and then ease below warning thresholds early on Friday morning.
Locations which may be affected include Wonthaggi, Daylesford, Castlemaine, Kyneton, Torquay, Rosebud and Tidal River.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEDT Thursday.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.