Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Melbourne Area
for Intense Rainfall
for parts of Northern, Outer East, Inner East, South East and Western Local Warning Areas.
Issued at 5:21 pm Friday, 27 February 2026.
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WITH INTENSE RAINFALL OVER MELBOURNE'S OUTER NORTH WEST AND OUTER EAST.
INTENSE RAINFALL for the following areas:
Inner East, South East, Northern, Outer East and Western
The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 5:15 pm, VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS likely to produce intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding were detected near Gisborne, Gembrook and Belgrave. These thunderstorms are slow moving. They are forecast to affect Yarra Junction, the area north of Pakenham and the area northeast of Pakenham by 5:45 pm and Sunbury, the area east of Gisborne and the area east of Pakenham by 6:15 pm.
44.0 MM WAS RECORDED AT LILYDALE LAKE IN THE 60 MINUTES TO 5:00 PM.
21.6 mm was recorded at Mt Evelyn in the 30 minutes to 5:00 pm.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
A more general severe thunderstorm warning is also current for parts of the Central, East Gippsland, Mallee, South West, North Central, North East, West and South Gippsland and Wimmera districts.
Other warnings may be current.
The next warning is due to be issued by 6:25 pm.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Leopold (38.1881°S, 144.4646°E, 35m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening, possibly severe with heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding. Winds E/SE 15 to 20 km/h.
Forecast for Leopold (38.1881°S, 144.4646°E, 35m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary
Minimum 16° 17° 19° 19° 17° 16° 12° Maximum 26° 26° 26° 24° 21° 22° 25° Chance of rain 70% 80% 90% 90% 80% 60% 5% Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 4
(km/h)15
(km/h)9
(km/h)14
(km/h)12
(km/h)19
(km/h)13
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)6
(km/h)14
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction E E E E ENE NE NNE NNE S SSE SW SSW W SW Relative humidity 81% 53% 88% 61% 81% 59% 90% 80% 89% 79% 86% 70% 80% 52% Dew point 16°C 18°C 18°C 17°C 19°C 16°C 19°C 19°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 12°C 14°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Leopold (38.1881°S, 144.4646°E, 35m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase Full moon Last quarter New moon First quarter 6:37am EDT 7:04am EDT 8:07pm EDT 8:34pm EDT 5:36pm EDT 1:43am EDT
Waxing gibbous
Full moon Mar 03 Last quarter Mar 11 New moon Mar 19 First quarter Mar 26 -
Warnings
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Melbourne Area (Intense Rain) for Northern, Outer East, Inner East, South East & Western Local Warning Areas
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Melbourne Area (Intense Rain) for Northern, Outer East, Inner East, South East & Western Local Warning Areas
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy, Locally Intense Rain & Hail) Central, E Gippsland, Mallee, SW, N Central, NE, W & S Gippsland & Wimmera
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy, Locally Intense Rain & Hail) Central, E Gippsland, Mallee, SW, N Central, NE, W & S Gippsland & Wimmera
- Strong Wind Warning for Central, Central Gippsland and East Gippsland coasts
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days