Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy Rainfall, Large Hailstones And Damaging Winds
for East Gippsland and parts of Northern Country, North East, West and South Gippsland and North Central Forecast Districts.
Issued at 5:39 pm Thursday, 15 January 2026.
Severe storms persisting across parts of the north and east this evening.
Weather Situation
An upper-level low pressure system is generating slow moving showers and thunderstorms over parts of the north and east this evening. Severe thunderstorms may also have the additional hazards of large hail and damaging winds for about the next hour.
HEAVY RAINFALL, LARGE HAILSTONES and DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
East Gippsland, Northern Country, North Central, North East and West and South Gippsland
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding, large hailstones and damaging winds over the next several hours in the East Gippsland and parts of the Northern Country, North East, West and South Gippsland and North Central districts. Locations which may be affected include Orbost, Bright, Falls Creek, Mansfield, Mallacoota, Mt Hotham, Mt Buller, Omeo and Rochester.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the East Gippsland and West and South Gippsland districts. Locations which may be affected include Bairnsdale.
Severe thunderstorms are no longer occurring in the Central and South West districts and the warning for these districts is CANCELLED.
Significant rainfall observations:
50.6 MM AT THE GORGE (GENOA RIVER) IN THE 1 HOUR TO 5;15 PM.
67.0 MM AT MT CANN FIRE TOWER IN THE 1 HOUR TO 4:06 PM.
59.8 MM AT LICOLA IN THE 1 HOUR TO 3:37 PM.
176.2 MM AT MT COWLEY IN THE 6 HOURS TO 3:00 PM.
88.4 MM AT BENWERRIN IN THE 3 HOUR TO 3:00 PM.
Cancellation for the following areas:
South West,Central
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
The next warning is due to be issued by 8:40 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Tambo Crossing (37.4959°S, 147.834°E, 145m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of rain. The chance of smoke haze about the ranges. A thunderstorm likely, possibly severe with large hail and heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending SE/SW in the late afternoon then tending E/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the evening.
Forecast for Tambo Crossing (37.4959°S, 147.834°E, 145m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary
Minimum 16° 14° 13° 13° 14° 16° 14° Maximum 24° 17° 18° 21° 26° 26° 24° Chance of rain 90% 90% 70% 30% 30% 70% 50% Likely amount 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 6
(km/h)4
(km/h)17
(km/h)13
(km/h)16
(km/h)16
(km/h)16
(km/h)16
(km/h)14
(km/h)12
(km/h)13
(km/h)13
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)Wind direction E SE ESE ESE ESE ESE E ESE E E ENE SE SE SSE Relative humidity 91% 99% 100% 92% 94% 77% 83% 63% 73% 52% 75% 60% 80% 60% Dew point 17°C 18°C 15°C 14°C 13°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 14°C 14°C 16°C 14°C 14°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Tambo Crossing (37.4959°S, 147.834°E, 145m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase New moon First quarter Full moon Last quarter 5:32am EDT 6:02am EDT 8:31pm EDT 9:02pm EDT 2:21am EDT 5:58pm EDT
Waning crescent
New moon Jan 19 First quarter Jan 26 Full moon Feb 02 Last quarter Feb 09 -
Warnings
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy Rain, Hail & Damaging Winds) East Gippsland & N Country, North East, W & S Gippsland & North Central
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy Rain, Hail & Damaging Winds) East Gippsland & N Country, North East, W & S Gippsland & North Central
- Severe Weather Warning (Damaging Winds) for parts of Central, North Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland
- Severe Weather Warning (Damaging Winds) for parts of Central, North Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days