Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Large, Possibly Giant Hailstones, Damaging, Locally Destructive Winds And Heavy Rainfall
for Northern Tablelands and parts of Northern Rivers, Mid North Coast, Central Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains, Central West Slopes and Plains and Hunter Forecast Districts.
Issued at 3:12 pm Saturday, 1 November 2025.
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GIANT HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS ABOUT PARTS OF THE NORTHERN TABLELANDS AND ADJACENT COASTAL RANGES.
Weather Situation
Moisture and instability to the east of a surface trough is promoting the development of severe thunderstorm activity this afternoon.
LARGE, POSSIBLY GIANT HAILSTONES, DAMAGING, LOCALLY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
Northern Rivers, Mid North Coast, Hunter, Central Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains, Central West Slopes and Plains and Northern Tablelands
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce large, possibly giant hailstones, damaging, locally destructive winds and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the Mid North Coast, Northern Tablelands and Northern Rivers districts. Locations which may be affected include Tabulam, Nymboida, Ebor and Drake.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones and damaging winds over the next several hours in the Northern Tablelands and parts of the Northern Rivers, Mid North Coast, Central Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains, Central West Slopes and Plains and Hunter districts. Locations which may be affected include Armidale, Tenterfield, Glen Innes, Tabulam, Urbenville and Jackadgery.
5-6 CM HAIL REPORTED NEAR EMMAVILLE AT 1:40PM.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover or away from trees.
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
* Keep at least 8 metres away from fallen power lines or objects that may be energised, such as fences.
* Report fallen power lines to either Ausgrid (131 388), Endeavour Energy (131 003), Essential Energy (132 080) or Evoenergy (131 093) as shown on your power bill.
* Trees that have been damaged by fire are likely to be more unstable and more likely to fall.
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* Don't walk, ride your bike or drive through flood water.
* If you are trapped by flash flooding, seek refuge in the highest available place and ring 000 if you need rescue.
* Be aware that run-off from rainfall in fire affected areas may behave differently and be more rapid. It may also contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks.
* After bushfires, heavy rain and the loss of foliage can make the ground soft and heavy, leading to a greater chance of landslides.
* Unplug computers and appliances.
* Avoid using the phone during the storm.
* Stay indoors away from windows, and keep children and pets indoors as well.
* Stay vigilant and monitor conditions. Note that the landscape may have changed following bushfires.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring the SES (NSW and ACT) on 132 500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 6:15 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Come By Chance (30.3333°S, 148.4667°E, 141m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers on the slopes, slight chance elsewhere. A thunderstorm likely in the afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms possibly severe with destructive winds, large to giant hail and heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding. Winds NW/NE 25 to 35 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon then tending NE/SE in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 38.
Forecast for Come By Chance (30.3333°S, 148.4667°E, 141m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary
Minimum 19° 17° 20° 12° 9° 11° 20° Maximum 38° 36° 38° 26° 28° 32° 35° Chance of rain 5% 5% 70% 20% 5% 20% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Extreme Very High Very High Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating High Moderate High High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 32
(km/h)11
(km/h)14
(km/h)7
(km/h)22
(km/h)24
(km/h)24
(km/h)31
(km/h)12
(km/h)17
(km/h)15
(km/h)14
(km/h)21
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction NE W E S NE NNW WNW WNW SW W E WNW NE NNW Relative humidity 56% 23% 64% 22% 43% 13% 49% 19% 33% 17% 40% 19% 38% 20% Dew point 18°C 13°C 19°C 11°C 16°C 5°C 9°C 0°C 4°C 0°C 8°C 4°C 13°C 9°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Come By Chance (30.3333°S, 148.4667°E, 141m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase Full moon Last quarter New moon First quarter 5:48am EDT 6:13am EDT 7:29pm EDT 7:54pm EDT 2:49pm EDT 3:13am EDT
Waxing gibbous
Full moon Nov 06 Last quarter Nov 12 New moon Nov 20 First quarter Nov 28 -
Warnings
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days