Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy, Locally Intense Rainfall, Large Hailstones And Damaging Winds
for Northern Rivers, Northern Tablelands and parts of Mid North Coast, North West Slopes and Plains and Hunter Forecast Districts.
Issued at 6:48 pm Saturday, 1 November 2025.
INTENSE RAINFALL WITH A VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORM NORTH OF GRAFTON.
Weather Situation
Moisture and instability to the east of a surface trough is promoting the development of severe thunderstorm activity this evening.
HEAVY, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL, LARGE HAILSTONES and DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
Northern Rivers, Mid North Coast, Hunter, North West Slopes and Plains and Northern Tablelands
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce heavy, locally intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding, large hailstones and damaging winds over the next several hours in parts of the Northern Rivers district. Locations which may be affected include Grafton, Yamba, Maclean, Whiporie, Iluka and Ulmarra.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones, damaging winds and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in the Northern Rivers, Northern Tablelands and parts of the Mid North Coast, North West Slopes and Plains and Hunter districts. Locations which may be affected include Grafton, Armidale, Tamworth, Tenterfield, Glen Innes and Inverell.
70MM RECORDED AT GRAFTON IN 30MIN TO 5:57PM
6-7 CM HAIL REPORTED AT NORTH DORRIGO AT 3:20 PM.
5-6 CM HAIL REPORTED NEAR EMMAVILLE AT 1:40PM.
59.6 mm was recorded at Glenreagh in the 30 minutes to 4:43 pm.
Cancellation for the following areas:
Central Tablelands,Central West Slopes and Plains
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover or away from trees.
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
* Keep at least 8 metres away from fallen power lines or objects that may be energised, such as fences.
* Report fallen power lines to either Ausgrid (131 388), Endeavour Energy (131 003), Essential Energy (132 080) or Evoenergy (131 093) as shown on your power bill.
* Trees that have been damaged by fire are likely to be more unstable and more likely to fall.
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* Don't walk, ride your bike or drive through flood water.
* If you are trapped by flash flooding, seek refuge in the highest available place and ring 000 if you need rescue.
* Be aware that run-off from rainfall in fire affected areas may behave differently and be more rapid. It may also contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks.
* After bushfires, heavy rain and the loss of foliage can make the ground soft and heavy, leading to a greater chance of landslides.
* Unplug computers and appliances.
* Avoid using the phone during the storm.
* Stay indoors away from windows, and keep children and pets indoors as well.
* Stay vigilant and monitor conditions. Note that the landscape may have changed following bushfires.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring the SES (NSW and ACT) on 132 500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 9:50 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Dingo Forest (31.7136°S, 152.1013°E, 449m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog in the S in the early morning. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N in the afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for Dingo Forest (31.7136°S, 152.1013°E, 449m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary
Minimum 15° 16° 19° 11° 12° 15° 16° Maximum 24° 31° 26° 25° 26° 28° 27° Chance of rain 60% 60% 20% 10% 10% 30% 80% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Extreme Extreme Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate High Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 3
(km/h)8
(km/h)4
(km/h)8
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)8
(km/h)11
(km/h)7
(km/h)8
(km/h)4
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)Wind direction S SE NE ENE WNW NW WNW WNW WNW E NNE E NNW NW Relative humidity 85% 66% 71% 42% 68% 33% 38% 25% 49% 39% 56% 47% 57% 52% Dew point 17°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 15°C 8°C 5°C 4°C 10°C 11°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 16°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Dingo Forest (31.7136°S, 152.1013°E, 449m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase Full moon Last quarter New moon First quarter 5:29am EDT 5:54am EDT 7:15pm EDT 7:41pm EDT 3:35pm EDT 3:28am EDT
Waxing gibbous
Full moon Nov 06 Last quarter Nov 12 New moon Nov 20 First quarter Nov 28 -
Warnings
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days