Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, National Water Operations
Initial Minor Flood Warning For The South Esk River
Issued at 04:48 PM AEDT on Tuesday 21 October 2025
Flood Warning Number: 1
MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE AT FINGAL, LEWIS HILL AND LLEWELLYN FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH FORECAST RAINFALL
Moderate to locally heavy rainfall is forecast across the South Esk catchment from Wednesday into Thursday. The catchment is wet following recent rainfall. River level rises are expected, and minor flooding is possible along the South Esk River at Fingal and Llewellyn, and along the St Pauls River at Lewis Hill from Wednesday evening
The situation is being closely monitored, and this warning will be updated as required.
St Pauls River:
Minor flooding is possible along the St Pauls Rivers.
The St Pauls River at Lewis Hill is currently at 0.32 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The St Pauls River at Lewis Hill may exceed the minor flood level (1.70 m) Wednesday afternoon. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.
South Esk River - Fingal to Llewellyn:
Minor flooding is possible along the South Esk River.
The South Esk River at Fingal is currently at 2.10 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The South Esk River at Fingal may exceed the minor flood level (4.00 m) Wednesday evening. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.
The South Esk River at Llewellyn is currently at 1.63 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The South Esk River at Llewellyn may exceed the minor flood level (4.00 m) Wednesday evening. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.
Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.alert.tas.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 AM AEDT on Wednesday 22 October 2025.
Latest River Heights:
Break O'Day River at Killymoon,0.35,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Upper Esk Road Bridge,0.74,steady,2:45 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Mathinna,0.41,steady,4:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Fingal,2.10,steady,4:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
St Pauls River at Lewis Hill,0.32,steady,4:26 pm Tue 21/10/25
St Pauls River at Above Avoca,0.53,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Llewellyn,1.63,steady,4:15 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Perth,1.83,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Longford,0.40,steady,4:09 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Trevallyn Pond,126.30,steady,4:15 pm Tue 21/10/25
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood.
Forecast
Friendly Beaches (41.9914°S, 148.2476°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N in the morning and afternoon. Heavy falls possible about higher ground. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then turning SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15.
Forecast for Friendly Beaches (41.9914°S, 148.2476°E, 13m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 10° 7° 7° 7° 8° 5° 5° Maximum 14° 18° 20° 19° 16° 14° 16° Chance of rain 90% 10% 10% 50% 90% 90% 40% Likely amount 20-40mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 2
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)9
(km/h)12
(km/h)11
(km/h)4
(km/h)13
(km/h)7
(km/h)23
(km/h)23
(km/h)28
(km/h)11
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction E SSE W NNE W WSW W NNE SW S SSW SSW WSW SSE Relative humidity 86% 85% 54% 44% 53% 40% 55% 44% 66% 60% 63% 47% 54% 45% Dew point 10°C 10°C 3°C 4°C 3°C 4°C 4°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 2°C 2°C 1°C 3°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Friendly Beaches (41.9914°S, 148.2476°E, 13m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase First quarter Full moon Last quarter New moon 5:38am EDT 6:07am EDT 7:36pm EDT 8:06pm EDT 6:01am EDT 8:31pm EDT Waxing crescent
First quarter Oct 30 Full moon Nov 06 Last quarter Nov 12 New moon Nov 20 -
Warnings
-
Temperature for next 7 days
-
Rain for next 7 days