Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, National Water Operations

Moderate Flood Warning For The South Esk River
Issued at 10:58 AM AEST on Saturday 26 July 2025
Flood Warning Number: 2

MODERATE FLOODING POSSIBLE AT LEWIS HILL FROM OVERNIGHT SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WITH FORECAST RAINFALL
MINOR FLOODING LIKELY AT FINGAL AND LLEWELLYN FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
Moderate to heavy rainfall has been observed across the South Esk catchment during Saturday morning. Further rainfall is forecast for the remainder of Saturday. This is likely to result in minor flooding at St Pauls river at Lewis Hill from Saturday afternoon, with forecast rainfall further rises to the around the moderate flood level overnight Saturday. Minor flooding is likely along South Esk river at Fingal from Saturday afternoon and at Llewellyn from Saturday evening. Further rises are possible along the South Esk River with forecast rainfall.
A flood watch is current for North and South east of Tasmania.

St Pauls River:
Minor flooding is likely along the St Pauls River at Lewis Hill and moderate flooding possible with forecast rainfall.
The St Pauls River at Lewis Hill is currently at 0.70 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The St Pauls River at Lewis Hill is likely to exceed the minor flood level (1.70 m) Saturday afternoon. With forecast rainfall the river level may reach around the moderate flood level (2.60 m) overnight Saturday into Sunday.

South Esk River - Fingal to Llewellyn:
Minor flooding is likely along the South Esk River at Fingal and Llewellyn.
The South Esk River at Fingal is currently at 2.72 m and rising, below the minor flood level.
The South Esk River at Fingal is likely to exceed the minor flood level (4.00 m) from Saturday afternoon. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.

The South Esk River at Llewellyn is currently at 2.11 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The South Esk River at Llewellyn is likely to exceed the minor flood level (4.00 m) Saturday evening. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.

Nile River:
River level rises are possible along the Nile river.

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.alert.tas.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 05:00 PM AEST on Saturday 26 July 2025.

Latest River Heights:
Break O'Day River at Killymoon,0.58,rising,9:00 am Sat 26/07/25
South Esk River at Upper Esk Road Bridge,0.99,rising,8:45 am Sat 26/07/25
South Esk River at Mathinna,0.85,rising,10:40 am Sat 26/07/25
South Esk River at Fingal,2.72,rising,10:39 am Sat 26/07/25
St Pauls River at Lewis Hill,0.70,steady,10:31 am Sat 26/07/25
St Pauls River at Above Avoca,0.82,steady,10:00 am Sat 26/07/25
South Esk River at Llewellyn,2.11,steady,10:45 am Sat 26/07/25
South Esk River at Perth,2.28,steady,10:00 am Sat 26/07/25
South Esk River at Longford,0.65,steady,10:24 am Sat 26/07/25
South Esk River at Trevallyn Pond,126.78,steady,10:15 am Sat 26/07/25

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Warning to Sheep Graziers

for North West Coast, North East and East Coast forecast districts

Issued at 10:52 AM EST on Saturday 26 July 2025

Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North West Coast, North East and East Coast forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, rain and showers and northeasterly winds are expected during Saturday. Areas likely to be affected include parts of the North West Coast, North East and East Coast forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
King Island forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the King Island forecast district has been cancelled.

The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Saturday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds

for parts of South East and East Coast Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:40 am Saturday, 26 July 2025.

Damaging east to northeasterly winds expected in eastern and southeastern areas today.

Weather Situation
A deep low pressure system to the northwest of the state will extend a front along the east coast throughout the day, with strengthening east to northeasterly winds ahead of it. The front will clear the southeast coast by early evening, with winds easing in its wake.
DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
South East and East Coast
DAMAGING EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS averaging 50 to 65 km/h with peak gusts of around 90 km/h are likely today about parts of the east coast.
Winds will ease north of Swansea by around midday, before clearing the state entirely by the early evening.
There are also currently active flood warnings for the area, for more information please check http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/warnings/
Locations which may be affected include St Helens, Swansea, Ben Lomond, Whitemark, Bicheno, Orford and Fingal.
Severe weather is no longer occurring in the Furneaux Islands, North East and Central North districts and the warning for these districts is CANCELLED.
91km/h wind gust and sustained 63 km/h winds were recorded at Larapuna at approximately 8:00 am.
Cancellation for the following areas:
Furneaux Islands,North East,Central North

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Supervise children closely.
* Check that family and neighbours are aware of warnings.
* Manage pets and livestock.
* Secure outdoor items including furniture and play equipment.
* Be prepared in case of power outages and report any outages to TasNetworks on 132 004.
* Beware of damaged trees and power lines and take care when driving.
* Listen to the ABC radio or check www.ses.tas.gov.au for further advice.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEST Saturday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds

for parts of South East and East Coast Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:40 am Saturday, 26 July 2025.

Damaging east to northeasterly winds expected in eastern and southeastern areas today.

Weather Situation
A deep low pressure system to the northwest of the state will extend a front along the east coast throughout the day, with strengthening east to northeasterly winds ahead of it. The front will clear the southeast coast by early evening, with winds easing in its wake.
DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
South East and East Coast
DAMAGING EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS averaging 50 to 65 km/h with peak gusts of around 90 km/h are likely today about parts of the east coast.
Winds will ease north of Swansea by around midday, before clearing the state entirely by the early evening.
There are also currently active flood warnings for the area, for more information please check http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/warnings/
Locations which may be affected include St Helens, Swansea, Ben Lomond, Whitemark, Bicheno, Orford and Fingal.
Severe weather is no longer occurring in the Furneaux Islands, North East and Central North districts and the warning for these districts is CANCELLED.
91km/h wind gust and sustained 63 km/h winds were recorded at Larapuna at approximately 8:00 am.
Cancellation for the following areas:
Furneaux Islands,North East,Central North

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Supervise children closely.
* Check that family and neighbours are aware of warnings.
* Manage pets and livestock.
* Secure outdoor items including furniture and play equipment.
* Be prepared in case of power outages and report any outages to TasNetworks on 132 004.
* Beware of damaged trees and power lines and take care when driving.
* Listen to the ABC radio or check www.ses.tas.gov.au for further advice.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEST Saturday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Road Weather Alert for Tasmania

for North East, East Coast and South East forecast districts

Issued at 10:31 AM EST on Saturday 26 July 2025

Road weather alert for reduced visibility in heavy rain for the following areas:
North East, East Coast and South East forecast districts
Reduced visibility in heavy rain will make road conditions dangerous during Saturday in parts of the North East, East Coast and South East forecast districts.

For information on any road closures, please contact your local council or the Police.

The next alert will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Saturday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania

Issued at 10:00 AM EST on Saturday 26 July 2025
for the period until midnight EST Sunday 27 July 2025

Wind Warnings for Saturday 26 July
Gale Warning for the following areas:
East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast, South East Coast and South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast and Banks Strait and Franklin Sound

Wind Warnings for Sunday 27 July
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Lower East Coast, South East Coast and South West Coast

The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EST Saturday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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