Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy To Intense Rainfall, Large Hailstones And Damaging Winds
for East Gippsland and parts of North East, West and South Gippsland, Central, South West and North Central Forecast Districts.
Issued at 3:09 pm Thursday, 15 January 2026.
INTENSE RAINFALL RISK CONTINUING ALONG THE GIPPSLAND COAST, SEVERE STORMS IN THE EAST AND OTWAYS.
Weather Situation
An upper-level low pressure system is generating slow moving showers and thunderstorms over the Otways, Gippsland coast and eastern ranges. Severe thunderstorms are also continuing to develop in the east with the additional hazards of large hail and damaging winds.
HEAVY to INTENSE RAINFALL, LARGE HAILSTONES and DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
Central, East Gippsland, South West, North Central, North East and West and South Gippsland
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the West and South Gippsland district. Locations which may be affected include Seaspray.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the Central and South West districts. Locations which may be affected include Lorne and surrounds.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding, large hailstones and damaging winds over the next several hours in the East Gippsland and parts of the North East, West and South Gippsland, Central and North Central districts. Locations which may be affected include Falls Creek, Dargo, Buchan, Mt Baw Baw, Maffra, Mt Hotham, Omeo, Chandlers Creek and Combienbar.
Significant rainfall observations to 3:00 pm:
175.4 MM AT MT COWLEY IN THE 6 HOURS TO 3:00 PM.
52.4 MM AT BENWERRIN IN THE 1 HOUR TO 2:00 PM.
23.6 mm at Aireys Inlet in the 1 hour to 2:20 pm.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
The next warning is due to be issued by 6:10 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Marysville (37.5104°S, 145.7475°E, 402m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of smoke haze, mainly in the E. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening, possibly severe with large hail and heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding in the E. Damaging winds possible in the W this evening. Winds S 25 to 40 km/h.
Forecast for Marysville (37.5104°S, 145.7475°E, 402m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary
Minimum 13° 15° 13° 12° 13° 15° 14° Maximum 28° 23° 24° 27° 27° 27° 29° Chance of rain 80% 5% 30% 30% 40% 80% 20% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Extreme Very High Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating High High High Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 4
(km/h)28
(km/h)25
(km/h)29
(km/h)22
(km/h)24
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)10
(km/h)11
(km/h)9
(km/h)13
(km/h)9
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW SE SE SE ESE ESE ESE E ESE E S SE S Relative humidity 76% 42% 65% 51% 60% 45% 59% 39% 64% 44% 65% 51% 62% 37% Dew point 13°C 12°C 12°C 11°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 13°C 14°C 12°C 11°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Marysville (37.5104°S, 145.7475°E, 402m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase New moon First quarter Full moon Last quarter 5:42am EDT 6:12am EDT 8:39pm EDT 9:09pm EDT 2:32am EDT 6:05pm EDT
Waning crescent
New moon Jan 19 First quarter Jan 26 Full moon Feb 02 Last quarter Feb 09 -
Warnings
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy To Intense Rain, Hail & Damaging Winds) E Gippsland & NE, W & S Gippsland, Central, SW & N Central
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy To Intense Rain, Hail & Damaging Winds) E Gippsland & NE, W & S Gippsland, Central, SW & N Central
- Severe Weather Warning (Damaging Winds) for parts of Central, North Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland
- Severe Weather Warning (Damaging Winds) for parts of Central, North Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days