Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds And Heavy Rainfall
for East Gippsland and parts of Central, North Central, North East and West and South Gippsland Forecast Districts.
Issued at 9:45 am Friday, 27 March 2026.
Damaging southerly winds, heavy rainfall and blizzard conditions continuing over parts of the state today.
Weather Situation
A vigorous coastal low has developed offshore of the southern NSW coast, leading to damaging southerly winds developing over parts of the state overnight. Heavy rainfall is also expected to develop over parts of East Gippsland, as these winds combine with ample moisture to rise over topography. This may also bring blizzard conditions to alpine areas. The low will move further offshore later on Friday, leading to an easing of conditions across the state.
DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
Central, East Gippsland, North Central, North East and West and South Gippsland
For the CENTRAL RANGES: DAMAGING SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS with peak gusts of around 90 km/h are expected to continue for the remainder of the morning and into the early afternoon.
For EASTERN AREAS: DAMAGING SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS with peak gusts of around 90 km/h are expected to continue for the remainder of the morning and into the early aftrenoon, with gusts increasing to 100 km/h near the coast. For ALPINE areas above 1600m: DAMAGING SOUTHERLY WINDS averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts of around 100 km/h are occurring and likely to continue into the afternoon. BLIZZARD conditions are also forecast for the remainder of the morning and into the afternoon.
HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is developing over the elevated terrain of East Gippsland this morning and is expected to continue into the afternoon. Six-hourly rainfall totals between 60 to 80 mm are likely.
Conditions remain gusty across the MELBOURNE area and parts of the central coastline, but have now eased below warning thresholds. Conditions should ease about the central ranges by the early afternoon, and throughout by Friday evening.
Flood warnings are current over the area. See https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts for details.
Locations which may be affected include Orbost, Falls Creek, Dargo, Buchan, Kyneton and Mallacoota.
Severe observations to 9:45 am:
61.6 mm was recorded at Buldah in the 3 hours to 9:40 am.
68.8 mm was recorded at Chandlers Creek (Cann River) in the 3 hours to 9:30 am.
102 km/h gust with 81 km/h sustained winds were recorded at Falls Creek around 7:30 am.
93 km/h gust with 63 km/h sustained winds were recorded at Mt Buller around 6:05 am.
109 km/h gust was recorded at South Channel Island at 1:41 am.
94 km/h gust was recorded at St Kilda Harbour at 2:10 am.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEDT Friday.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Neerim South (38.0166°S, 145.9546°E, 241m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers about the ranges, slight chance elsewhere. Heavy falls possible about the ranges in the early afternoon. Damaging winds possible about the ranges. Winds S 25 to 40 km/h turning SW in the early afternoon then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 17.
Forecast for Neerim South (38.0166°S, 145.9546°E, 241m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary
Minimum 9° 11° 10° 9° 12° 15° 13° Maximum 16° 19° 20° 23° 27° 28° 25° Chance of rain 80% 80% 10% 5% 5% 30% 70% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 14
(km/h)20
(km/h)4
(km/h)11
(km/h)3
(km/h)7
(km/h)4
(km/h)5
(km/h)7
(km/h)9
(km/h)16
(km/h)17
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SW S SW NNE SW NNE SSW NNE N NNE N NNW WNW Relative humidity 93% 55% 92% 77% 91% 59% 82% 53% 67% 36% 47% 40% 73% 56% Dew point 11°C 7°C 13°C 15°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 13°C 11°C 11°C 10°C 14°C 14°C 16°C -
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Neerim South (38.0166°S, 145.9546°E, 241m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase Full moon Last quarter New moon First quarter 6:59am EDT 7:25am EDT 7:18pm EDT 7:44pm EDT 4:12pm EDT 12:38am EDT
Waxing gibbous
Full moon Apr 02 Last quarter Apr 10 New moon Apr 17 First quarter Apr 24 -
Warnings
- Severe Weather Warning (Damaging Winds & Heavy Rainfall) for East Gippsland & Central, North Central, North East & West & South Gippsland
- Severe Weather Warning (Damaging Winds & Heavy Rainfall) for East Gippsland & Central, North Central, North East & West & South Gippsland
- Sheep Graziers Warning Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, W & S Gippsland & East Gippsland
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Temperature for next 7 days
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Rain for next 7 days